Learning Module 5
Pricing and Valuation of Forward Contracts and for an Underlying with Varying Maturities
Key Outcomes Summary & Practice Problems
What you must be able to do
Curriculum Year: 2026
Explain how the value and price of a forward contract are determined at initiation, during the life of the contract, and at expiration.
Explain how forward rates are determined for interest rate forward contracts and describe the uses of these forward rates.
1 · Pricing vs. Valuation — Key Distinction
Price (F0(T)) is fixed at inception and never changes over the contract's life.
Value (Vt(T)) is the mark-to-market (MTM) amount — what the contract is worth at any point in time — and changes as the underlying spot price, time, and rates change.
At inception: V0(T) = 0 for both parties (no-arbitrage). At maturity: VT(T) = ST − F0(T) (long) — the settlement amount.
V0(T) = 0
VT(T) = ST − F0(T) (long) | F0(T) − ST (short)
2 · Valuation During the Life of the Contract (No Costs/Benefits)
Vt(T) = St − F0(T)(1 + r)−(T−t) (long position)
The long position's value = current spot price minus the present value of the (fixed) forward price; the short position's value is the negative of this.
An instantaneous rise in St (other things equal) → MTM gain to the long / loss to the short.
An increase in the risk-free rate r (other things equal) → present value of F0(T) falls → MTM gain to the long / loss to the short.
At any time t, if St exactly equals the PV of F0(T), then Vt(T) = 0 (the contract's "breakeven" spot price).
3 · Valuation With Costs and Benefits
F0(T) = [S0 − PV0(I) + PV0(C)](1 + r)T
Vt(T) = [St − PVt(I) + PVt(C)] − F0(T)(1 + r)−(T−t)
If remaining benefits (PVt(I)) exceed remaining costs (PVt(C)) → MTM is lower than the no-cost-benefit case.
If remaining costs exceed remaining benefits → MTM is higher than the no-cost-benefit case.
If remaining costs and benefits exactly offset → MTM = St − PV of F0(T) (the simple case).
4 · FX Forward Valuation
F0,f/d(T) = S0,f/d × e(rf − rd)T
Vt(T) = St,f/d − F0,f/d(T) × e−(rf − rd)(T−t)
An increase in the interest-rate differential (rf − rd) increases the discount rate applied to F0,f/d(T) — this generally produces an MTM gain to the long position (buyer of the base/domestic currency), all else equal, since the PV of the forward price falls.
A rate change affects MTM value, but the original contract price, F0(T), never changes over the contract's life.
5 · Zero Rates, Discount Factors, and Bootstrapping
Zero (spot) rate — the yield on a single cash flow received at a future date; for a one-period bond, the YTM equals the zero rate.
Bootstrapping — sequentially deriving zero rates from coupon-bond prices, using already-solved shorter zero rates to back out the next maturity's zero rate.
Discount factor (DFi) — the price today of $1 received at time i; also the no-arbitrage price of a zero-coupon bond per unit face value.
DFi = 1 / (1 + zi)i
6 · Implied Forward Rates (IFR)
The implied forward rate is the breakeven reinvestment rate that equates (1) investing short-term and rolling over at the forward rate, to (2) investing directly to the longer maturity.
Notation: IFRA,B−A = forward rate starting in period A, with tenor (B − A); e.g., "2y3y" = 2-year forward starting point, 3-year tenor.
(1 + zA)A × (1 + IFRA,B−A)B−A = (1 + zB)B
7 · Forward Rate Agreements (FRAs)
An FRA is an OTC derivative in which counterparties agree to apply a fixed rate to a hypothetical notional deposit over a future period; the underlying is a market reference rate (MRR).
FRA buyer / fixed-rate payer pays the fixed rate (set at t=0, equal to the no-arbitrage IFR) and receives the floating MRR set at the start of the forward period.
Like a swap, no notional is exchanged — only net interest; and like other forwards, V0(T) = 0 if priced at the no-arbitrage IFR.
FRAs settle at the start of the rate period (not the end) — the net settlement amount must be discounted back from the end of the period to the settlement date using the realized MRR.
A fixed-rate payer FRA benefits if MRR rises above the contracted fixed rate — useful for hedging exposure to rising floating-rate borrowing costs.
Net payment = (MRRB−A − IFRA,B−A) × Notional × Period
Settled at start of period → discount back using MRRB−A