Level I · Portfolio Management

Learning Module 5
The Behavioral Biases of Individuals

Key Outcomes Summary & Practice Problems

Learning Outcomes

What you must be able to do

Curriculum Year: 2026

LOS 1

Compare and contrast cognitive errors and emotional biases.

LOS 2

Discuss commonly recognized behavioral biases and their implications for financial decision making.

LOS 3

Describe how behavioral biases of investors can lead to market characteristics that may not be explained by traditional finance.

1 · Behavioral Bias Categories

    • Cognitive Errors — Faulty reasoning stemming from statistical, information-processing, or memory errors. Can often be corrected or eliminated through better information, education, and advice.

    • Emotional Biases — Biases based on feelings or emotions, stemming from impulses and intuitions. Harder to correct; often only possible to recognize and adapt to them.

Category

Source

Correction

Examples

Cognitive Errors

Faulty reasoning, statistical errors

Can be corrected with education and information

Conservatism, Confirmation, Representativeness, Anchoring, Mental Accounting, Framing, Availability

Emotional Biases

Feelings, impulses, intuitions

Harder to correct; must recognize and adapt

Loss Aversion, Overconfidence, Self-Control, Status Quo, Endowment, Regret Aversion

2 · Cognitive Errors

Belief Perseverance Biases — tendency to cling to previously held beliefs

Conservatism
BELIEF PERSEVERANCE

Maintaining prior views by inadequately incorporating new information. Under-reaction to new data.

Confirmation
BELIEF PERSEVERANCE

Looking for and noticing what confirms prior beliefs; ignoring contradictory information.

Representativeness
BELIEF PERSEVERANCE

Classifying new information based on past experiences; includes base-rate neglect and sample-size neglect.

Illusion of Control
BELIEF PERSEVERANCE

Believing one can control or influence outcomes when, in fact, one cannot.

Hindsight
BELIEF PERSEVERANCE

Believing past events were predictable and reasonable to expect after they have occurred.

Processing Errors — flaws in how information is processed

Anchoring & Adjustment
PROCESSING

Relying on an initial piece of information (anchor) and insufficiently adjusting from it.

Mental Accounting
PROCESSING

Mentally dividing money into "accounts" that influence decisions, even though money is fungible.

Framing
PROCESSING

Answering a question differently based on how it is framed (gain vs loss context).

Availability
PROCESSING

Estimating probability based on how easily information is recalled; includes retrievability, categorization, narrow range of experience, and resonance.

3 · Emotional Biases

Loss Aversion
EMOTIONAL

Strongly preferring to avoid losses than to achieve gains. Leads to holding losers and selling winners (disposition effect).


Overconfidence
EMOTIONAL

Unwarranted faith in one's own abilities. Includes prediction overconfidence and certainty overconfidence.


Self-Control
EMOTIONAL

Failing to act in pursuit of long-term goals in favor of short-term satisfaction.


Status Quo
EMOTIONAL

Choosing to do nothing instead of making a change, even when change is warranted.

Endowment
EMOTIONAL

Valuing an asset more when owning it than when not owning it.


Regret Aversion
EMOTIONAL

Avoiding making decisions out of fear that the decision will turn out poorly.

4 · Behavioral Finance & Market Behavior

    • Momentum — Future price behavior correlates with recent past. Explained by availability (recency effect), hindsight, and regret aversion.

    • Bubbles and Crashes — Overconfidence, overtrading, underestimation of risks, confirmation bias, self-attribution, anchoring, and cognitive dissonance.

    • Value Effect — Value stocks (low P/E, high B/M) outperform growth stocks. Behavioral explanations: halo effect (representativeness), overconfidence, home bias, and emotional attachment to familiar companies.

    • Home Bias — Portfolios exhibit a strong bias in favor of domestic securities, reflecting perceived informational advantage or psychological comfort.